Ellis Starr’s Blog

Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 4, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:40 PM Eastern This is a very interesting starter allowance open to horses which raced at least once in a claiming race carrying a $50,000 price. It’s really a non-winners of two BUT four of the nine entered have either two or three wins to date. More specifically, Royal Tryst and Blake B. have three wins including their most recent races, both at this one turf mile

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday May 28th, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:40 PM Eastern ANY of the nine entered can win, which is why the three horses opening at the highest odds in the field (12/1) are the horses to look at first when considering our bets- Sibelius, Market Alert and Hammerin Aamer. They have no knocks, particularly when offered decent value for win bets. On the other hand the two morning line favorites, Highly Motivated (5 to

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday May 21st, 2022

Dinner Party Stakes – Race 8 at Pimlico – Post Time 2:49 PM Eastern This appears to be a great betting race because the two top morning line favorites, Set Piece (8 to 5) and Atone (5 to 2), are both vulnerable and can be beaten. Set Piece returned from seven months off last month and was 8 to 1 in the Maker’s Mark Mile, ending up seventh of eight. Aside from winning the Grade

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday May 14th, 2022

Man o’War Stakes – Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:46 PM Eastern In and of itself, this race may not offer value but as the start to the double and pick 3 there is a lot of value because the horses which I think can win the next two legs are not favorites. When Gufo ran in the 2021 Man o’War, he was returning from a five and one-half month layoff. Nevertheless,

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Kentucky Derby

Key Races & Bets for Saturday May 7th, 2022

Fort Marcy Stakes – Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:19 PM Eastern Doswell has won three of 12 races on the grass but he’s shown up nearly every time as he’s finished in-the-money in 11 of those 12 races. His BEST two efforts came at this nine furlong trip, first in the December, 2020 Fort Lauderdale Stakes even though he ran second, earning a 112 Equibase Speed Figure, and the other came

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