Ellis Starr’s Blog

Key Races & Bets for Friday, November 2

Key Races & Bets for Saturday, November 2   Marathon Stakes – Race 10 at Churchill Downs- Post Time 6:43 PM Eastern Time   Honorable Duty has NEVER raced past a mile and one-eighth in 20 starts so this 12 furlongs could be an issue BUT both his breeding AND trainer’s record are in his favor. Sire Distorted Humor has a couple of marathon distance winners from seven starters in the last five years and

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 27

Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 27   Overskate Stakes – Race 8 at Woodbine – Post Time 4:47 PM ET   Not So Quiet is an up-and-coming star while some of the others in this race, already proven, are contenders as well but open at much lower than the 5 to 1 he opens at. Not So Quiet is three-for-four in his career, with all three wins earned in dominating fashion leading from

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 20

Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 20   Maid of the Mist Stakes – Race 7 at Belmont – Post Time 3:42 PM ET   Today is Empire Showcase day at Belmont and most of the state bred races are ho-hum affairs consisting of horses who take turns beating one another. Not so for the stakes for two year olds, this one for fillies and the Sleepy Hollow Stakes (Race 8) for males. This

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 13

Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 13   Nearctic Stakes – Race 7 at Woodbine – Post Time 4:30 PM ET   Hemp Hemp Hooray, Kitten’s Cat and Lady Alexandra are the win contenders, the first two opening at superb double digit odds out of line with their probability to win (in my opinion) and Lady Alexandra very interesting if her connections choose this spot against males over the race at Belmont. Hemp Hemp

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 6

Key Races & Bets for Saturday, October 6   Hill Prince Stakes – Race 9 at Belmont Park – Post Time 5:00 PM Eastern   Have At It and Prioritize just finished 2nd and 3rd, respectively, in the Better Talk Now Stakes at Saratoga, separated by a neck at odds of 7/1 and 9/1. In spite of running very well in a similar stakes, they open at 8/1 and, even more out of line, 15/1,

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