Seek Again Stakes – Race 9 at Belmont – Post Time 5:12 PM Eastern
Five horses have some chance to win but the ones which will make us the most profit are Epic Dreamer, Get Smokin and Delaware. The other two are Decorated Invader and Flavius.
Epic Dreamer gets the rail for this mile turf trip, certainly a plus. He also gets Irad Ortiz, Jr. another plus. He had run EXCLUSIVELY on dirt in his first 15 starts but after moving to the Casse barn last December, he tried turf. He ran miserably on it, finishing seventh, then sixth when trying blinkers in January on dirt. However, the combination of blinkers and turf helps him considerably in his most recent race in March, at this mile trip on turf, where he won easily with a strong 99 Equibase figure. Earlier in his career he had earned 108 and 114 figures which stack up against the BEST in here (Flavius-114) so now that he’s back in winning form, proven at a mile on turf, and with Ortiz, Jr. and the rail, Epic Dreamer has potential to post the upset, opening at 12/1.
Get Smokin won the Grade 2 Hill Prince Stakes last October at Belmont at this mile trip, with Decorated Invader a head behind. Still, Get Smokin opens at 5/1 here compared to 5/2 for Decorated Invader only because his trainer is Tom Bush and not Chad Brown. Dropping in class significantly from the Grade 1 Maker’s Mark Mile and returning to the course where two of his three wins have come, Get Smokin has a big shot. Similarly, the other Brown entrant, Delaware may go to post at odds higher than they should be. He won the nearly identical Dangers Hour Stakes at Aqueduct last month at 10/1 with Franco aboard for the first time. Franco rides back and the 110 figure is the BEST last race figure in the field.
Decorated Invader and Flavius are both good horses but neither is a standout and we can use both on doubles started in the last race, as well as try to split them by not putting them in both first and second on any exacta or trifecta tickets as in the examples below.
Win bets: Epic Dreamer at 3 to 1 or higher.
Consider a second, smaller win bet on either Get Smokin or Delaware (whichever has the higher odds near post time) at 3 to 1 or more.
Epic Dreamer, Get Smokin and Delaware over Epic Dreamer, Get Smokin, Delaware, Decorated Invader and Flavius
Get Smokin, Delaware, Decorated Invader and Flavius over Epic Dreamer