Key Races & Bets for Saturday October 26th, 2024
Race 7 at Keeneland – Post Time 4:12 PM Eastern
Win Contenders: Strike When Ready, Lady Emily Kathryn, Kehoe Beach, Work of Fiction
This is an exceptionally wide open race with a full field which should lend itself to profit as there are a few horses likely to go to post at much higher odds than make sense. One of those is Strike When Ready, who just won on 9/17 at the one lower NW1X allowance level. She did so with a visually impressive rally from eighth with a quarter mile to run and was still fifth and seven lengths back with an eighth of a mile to go before blowing by four horses to get up by a neck. Previously, she imported from Ireland over the winter after just one race in Ireland and ran poorly for Gallagher in California in April, but when shipped to the care of Correas she was a new horse and won in July to break her maiden, before taking a big step forward to win last month, earning a 95 Equibase Speed Figure which is the BEST last race figure in the field. Not only that but Jose Ortiz was up for the first time in victory and rides back and there is every reason to believe this filly can win her third in a row, opening at 12 to 1.
The Perryville Stakes 2024
We’ll look at The Perryville at Keeneland which shaped up as a nice race, but we’d be lying if we said we weren’t starting to get excited about the Breeders’ […]
Key Races & Bets for Saturday October 19th, 2024
Race 8 at Keeneland – Post Time 4:44 PM Eastern
Top Win Contender: Paros
Other contenders: Bold Discovery, Dripping Gold, Taking Candy, Irish Aces
Paros just ran the best race of his career, in his 16th career start, but more importantly first for Mike Maker off the claim. He had won two in a row prior to that, all on turf, then on 9/1 at Saratoga the horse showed a visually impressive turn of foot going from seventh, to fifth, to the lead with a strong 111 Equibase Speed Figure and sensational 22.2 last quarter mile. He’s likely to improve upon as he moves up in class just one step from NW2X to NW3X and gets the rail to save ground before launching his late bid.
The Queen Elizabeth II
The QE II has always been one of my favorite races. Even before it was thought of as a Breeders’ Cup filly and mare Turf prep. This year we have […]
Key Races & Bets for Saturday October 5th, 2024
Frizette Stakes – Race 7 at Aqueduct (Belmont at the Big A) – Post Time 3:17 PM Eastern
Top Win Contender: Another Cleeshay, Senza Parole, Snowyte
Another Cleeshay may be ignored in the betting off a maiden win at Saratoga compared to others with stakes races recently. However, she won much more easily than the 78 Equibase Speed Figure makes it appear, virtually galloping late to a nine and one-half length win. This was AFTER tossing her head to the side when the gate opened, breaking eighth of 10, before easily gaining the lead and not showing any signs of mis-expending any energy. Trainer Contessa won the 2023 Hopeful Stakes for two year olds last year at 50 to 1 odds off a horse with just a maiden win and I think this filly is going to be well worth wagering on today as she can post the upset.