October 15th – Thrilling Picks Select Picks

Belmont

Friday October 15

The early races at Belmont Friday look destined to produce chalky outcomes. Below are our selections that can be used to build multi-race wagers (doubles, PICK3/4/5). These horses fit custom models we built for today’s unique races.

RACE 1

#2, 3, 5

Don’t get seduced into singling the heavy favorite #2 Corkman. Favorites always have lost this race type, forced to settle for 2nd place. #5 Flight To Paradise has the earnings advantage, an important attribute found in past winners, the best contender to over-take the favorite.

RACE 2
#1/1A , 6, 7, 9

The significant attributes we found to produce winners for this race type in the past have been: Turf Earnings, E2 pace.

RACE 3

#2/2B

#2B Malibu Luna has the best E2 pace, found in 50% of past winners for this race type, it should be best of the chalk.  Including the duo #1/1A is understandable.

RACE 4

#9

#9 OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE , has the advantage for speed, turf earnings, horses beat. These attributes match 40% of past winners for this race type. Singling here saves budget, allowing us to go wider in other legs. If it loses. So be it, our cost is controlled.

RACE 5 

#3, 6, 8

Both trainers of the debut runners #8 and #6, Rudy Rodriguez and Todd Pletcher, have similar win rates with debut fillies, between 20-25%. Their owners also have similar success rates, they make smart investments with their fillies. We will include both #8 Slow Crossing and #6 No More Mischief along with the obvious # 3 Next Tuesday (who has the speed and turf earnings advantages).

$0.50 PICK 5 # 2,3,5 / 1,6,7,9 / 2 / 9 / 3,6,8

Get more from Thrilling Picks here

 

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