The Breeders’ Cup is over, the wagering opportunities continue. The one-mile Artie Schiller over the Aqueduct inner turf course drew a full field of 10.
The race came up pretty competitive, and I think we have a horse in here sitting on a big race.
Flavius hails from the powerful Chad Brown barn and comes out of a Kentucky Downs race where he made a nice middle move. He is a nice horse with some class and has to be viewed as a serious contender, but he will take a lot of money and I think we can beat him.
Olympic Runner is an old TRACKING TRIPS horse who won first time he ran back when added to our list. He is a sneaky good fit in here and Kendrick Carmouche helps his case in my opinion. He will be a price and looks like a horse who can sneak into the exotics.
Rinaldi knows one way to go and that is to the front. He should be the main speed here and when he is allowed to roll on the front alone, he can get brave. I respect his speed and his pace advantage in here, but I think he’ll get nailed unless he gets a complete waltz type trip which is not impossible. We see that happen often enough especially in these New York turf races.
March to the Arch can show up with a big race on his best day. Dylan Davis is riding hot right now and this guy has had some traffic trouble in his last two starts. He is another who can win on his best day. Like I said, this is a contentious race, but that leads to opportunities.
Bodecream comes in off the Jeffrey Englehart claim. He would have to take a big step forward to win here in my opinion. I don’t see it.
Tell Your Daddy improved a ton since moving to Tom Morley. While his last three races are good, and he has been competitive against Flavius, I think he has had some ideal trips which flattered him a bit. I am hoping he and maybe Bodecream keep Rinaldi somewhat honest on the front.
En Wye Cee is lightly raced for a 5-year-old and may have some upside. He never really lived up to his potential. I am not thrilled with his last two and I can’t get to him in here.
Breaking the Rules is where I and. He has always had a ton of potential and has run some pretty good races when at his best. I thought his Saratoga comebacker was excellent. He was a little flat in the Knickerbocker, but I think he will rebound with another strong race in here. I don’t like that two of his poor races came without Lasix which he will run without in here, but Shug knows what he is doing and doesn’t run where hew can’t win or when the horse is not right.
Field Pass is drawn a little wide for me with Castellano and his somewhat stalking style. He’d need a really ideal trip to have a shot, and that would only give him a shot in my opinion.
Mandate looks in over his head and would be a head scratcher.
I’ll take a shot with Breaking the Rules. Flavius, Olympic Runner, Rinaldi and March to the Arch will be in the second slot as if he is anywhere close to the 8-1 morning line, I can fool around with more exactas than I normally would. This s not a bad race to look at the Dutching calculator on AmWager. I might consider Dutching Olympic Runner and Breaking the Rules. Food for thought if nothing else.