Glens Falls Stakes – Race 7 at Saratoga – Post Time 3:58 PM Eastern
Luck Money, Call Me Love, War Like Goddess and Dalika are the win contenders. Temple City Terror should be considered for exacta and trifecta tickets.
Luck Money just finished second, beaten a length, in a nearly identical stakes race run at a marathon distance. Fifth early and 13 lengths behind the leader, Luck Money surged to second, only a length back with an eighth of a mile to go but could not go by Dalika, who had pressed then led on a sensationally slow early pace over a turf course labeled soft. Nevertheless, Luck Money improved nicely in her second start following six months off, going from a 92 Equibase figure in the comeback to 102. Not only is she on a pattern to improve nicely third off the layoff, the ONLY horse in the field on an improving pattern, but she is reunited with Javier Castellano, who last rode her to victory in an identical 12 furlong stakes race this past October when she earned a 104 figure good enough to win. Best of all, she opens at 8 to 1.
Call Me Love just won the identical River Memories Stakes at 12 furlongs on turf, from the two post after stalking the speed and under Junior Alvarado, who rides again. She was second, beaten a neck, over the course, in the 2020 Grade 2 Ballston Spa Stakes so she’s got some class as well as has won nearly half of her 16 career starts, all on turf. Like Luck Money, Call Me Love opens at 8 to 1 and offers exceptional value in this race in which the second morning line favorite (My Sister Nat) is highly vulnerable, and in which the 8 to 5 morning line favorite War Like Goddess is no standout.
Dalika won the Robert G. Dick Memorial Stakes last month and led from the start and was beaten by less than a length by Temple City Terror in the Keertana Stakes before that. We know she’s going to be out in front early in a race with no other horse which likes to lead early and that gives her a shot to win for the eighth time in her 23rd career start, BUT like the other six (excluding the much slower Orglandes), her best efforts have earned 104 to 106 figures no better than any of the others. War Like Goddess won the Bewitch Stakes at the distance when last seen in April with a brilliant late kick, her second stakes win in a row. Leparoux rides her back and she doesn’t need a fast pace to win but she’s another whose best effort, ever, earned a 102 Equibase figure which is just on par with most of the rest here and so she is no standout as her low odds make it appear.
Win bets: ABSOLUTELY bet both Luck Money and Call Me Love at 3 to 1 or more.
In that case, we should use a “Dutching” tool to do the work of allocating our wagering dollars for the best edge. A Dutching tool lets us set the amount you want to bet or the amount we want to win, then based on the odds our bets are proportioned accordingly. Amwager has a great dutching tool available, among many other great features.
Luck Money, Call Me Love, Dalika and War Like Goddess over Luck Money, Call Me Love, Dalika, War Like Goddess and Temple City Terror
Luck Money over Call Me Love, Temple City Terror, War Like Goddess and Dalika
Call Me Love, Temple City Terror, War Like Goddess and Dalika over Luck Money
Race 7: Luck Money, Call Me Love, Dalika and War Like Goddess
Race 8: Bella Sofia, Souper Sensational, Zaajel