Key Races & Bets for Saturday September 14th, 2024
Natalma Stakes – Race 5 at Woodbine – Post Time 3:25 PM Eastern
Win Contender: Mountain Breeze
For second on exacta tickets and third on trifecta tickets: Annascaul, Winterberry, Ready for Candy
When the powerhouse Appleby Stable (for Godolphin) sends a horse to Woodbine for the two year old stakes, this race and the Summer Stakes (race 9), they mean business. Appleby won the race in 2018 and 2021 with La Pelosa and Wild Beauty, who had both finished second in the Sweet Solera Stakes in England the previous month. Marco Botto also won this race, in 2017 with Capla Temptress, off a third place finish in the Sweet Solara Stakes. Mountain Breeze shows the identical pattern, having finished second last month in the Sweet Solara Stakes. She has run in stakes facing winners three times since earning her first win in May, as compared to all but three of the other 12 who enter the race having only faced maidens.
Saturday’s Selections July 6th, 2024
The Grade 1 Belmont Derby at a mile and three sixteenths this year will have a heavy favorite in Legend of Time. Coming off a win in The Pennine Ridge […]
East Coast West Coast
Saratoga and Del Mar will both be here before we know it. We plan on taking our share of big swings at both meets. We’ll see if we can pad […]
Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 29, 2024
Manila Stakes – Race 7 at Belmont at the Big A (Aqueduct) – Post Time 3:40 PM Eastern
Top Win Contenders: Please Advise, Mattingly
Although only six are entered, there’s only one from the Chad Brown barn, Move to Gold, who may be favored off a nose defeat in the Jersey Derby for weeks ago. He also won the Awad Stakes last October on this course, but he’s no standout based on a career-best 92 Equibase Speed Figure earned in the Jersey Derby. Another horse likely to take money is Deterministic, who won the Gotham Stakes on dirt in March before running exceptionally poorly in the Wood Memorial (at 4 to 5 odds) and in the Peter Pan. He’s never run on turf and will be overbet. Neat won the Transylvania Stakes at Keeneland one before his most recent race but ran inexplicably bad in the American Turf on Derby day and there is a question mark about whether he can rebound here, but he may also be bet because he’s dropping from grade 2 to grade 3. Drunk on Sake is completely over matched here coming off a maiden claiming win where he wired the field on slow fractions. He will not have the lead in this field and that takes him out of the mix.
The Wild Applause
Not many will remember Wild Applause or the family she hailed from. It was one of the best grass pedigrees I can recall and she herself could be referred to […]