Ellis Starr’s Blog
Key Races & Bets for Saturday March 9th, 2024
Florida Oaks – Race 10 at Tampa Bay Downs -Post Time 4:45 PM Eastern Top Contenders: Style Points, Dynamic Pricing Other contenders: Pharoah’s Wine Style Points is on a strong pattern for improvement off a neck defeat in the similar Sweetest Chant Stakes at Gulfstream Park last month, at this distance on turf. She had broken her maiden on 12/24/23 in her second career start, at this distance on turf, improving to a 93 Equibase
Key Races & Bets for Saturday March 2nd, 2024
Gulfstream Park Mile Stakes – Race 11 at Gulfstream Park -Post Time 4:20 PM Eastern Top Contenders: Ticking, Shaq Diesel, Tumbarumba Other contenders: Castle Chaos, Steal Sunshine Ticking may be disregarded by many bettors and go to post at decent (high) odds, which is fine for us who believe he can win. The recently turned four year old won by large margins at seven furlongs on dirt at Gulfstream last February and March, then ran
Key Races & Bets for Saturday February 24th, 2024
Lightning City Stakes – Race 7 at Tampa Bay Downs -Post Time 3:23 PM Eastern Top Contenders: Howboutdemapples, Play the Music HOT HOT HOT should be the early pace scenario in this field and even though speed does well at five furlongs on grass much of the time there are just TOO MANY “Early” pace types for any to hold on late to the pair of stalkers and closers in the form of Howboutdemapples and
Key Races & Bets for Saturday February 17th, 2024
Barbara Fritchie Stakes – Race 8 at Laurel -Post Time 4:02 PM Eastern Top Contenders: Last Leaf, Disco Ebo, Intrepid Daydream Last Leaf didn’t win her last race like Disco Ebo, nor was her last race a stakes like Intrepid Daydream, so I’ll start with her as she may go to post at the highest odds of the three contenders to win. Last Leaf ships in from Kentucky off a very strong second place effort
Key Races & Bets for Saturday February 10th, 2024
Minaret Stakes – Race 7 at Tampa Bay Downs -Post Time 3:43 PM Eastern Top Contenders: Bazinga C, Dreaming of Snow Although a case can be made for most of these to win or to be part of the exacta, there are TWO strong contenders, both at decent odds, to hone in on. Bazinga C has never ONLY gone to post at higher than 5 to 1 one time in 16 career races (and she