Jon Stettin’s Blog

Factor the Jockey

There are a lot of people who think the jockey doesn’t matter that much and they are all close to equally capable with the right horse. I’m not one of them. I think the jockey matters a lot and they have huge impacts on how races run and who wins and loses. They have tendencies, strengths and weaknesses. I try and factor riders into my handicapping. A perfect example id the 8th race on Friday at Aqueduct, The Gio Ponti Stakes at a mile and a sixteenth on the inner turf. Kendrick Carmouche is [...]

By |2021-11-26T08:18:20-05:00November 26, 2021|Jon Stettin's Blog|
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The 2021 Grade 3 Red Smith

There is not a lot of pace on paper, but at least the Red Smith, a long time NY turf marathon, has two horses with some early gas set to run. We all get frustrated by these turf races where all the riders seem to sit back and let one horse gallop around. In this one at least we have the possibility of Tide of the Sea keeping Channel Cat somewhat honest on the front creating a level field. We’ll see, it doesn’t always work out how it looks on paper. Tide of the [...]

By |2021-11-19T11:38:35-05:00November 19, 2021|Aqueduct Race Picks, Jon Stettin's Blog|
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The Artie Schiller 2021

The Breeders’ Cup is over, the wagering opportunities continue. The one-mile Artie Schiller over the Aqueduct inner turf course drew a full field of 10. The race came up pretty competitive, and I think we have a horse in here sitting on a big race. Flavius hails from the powerful Chad Brown barn and comes out of a Kentucky Downs race where he made a nice middle move. He is a nice horse with some class and has to be viewed as a serious contender, but he will take a lot of money and [...]

By |2021-11-12T14:57:31-05:00November 12, 2021|Aqueduct Race Picks, Jon Stettin's Blog|
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A 2021 Breeders’ Cup Bankroll Builder

A 2021 Breeders’ Cup Bankroll Builder First things first. The Breeders’ Cup draw is not until Monday. You don’t get paid more for selecting and locking in now. At Del Mar specifically the draw in certain races is crucial. The mile (two turn mile) races on turf and dirt will be impacted by the draw. That turn comes up fast, really fast. The mile and a sixteenth races have short runs to that first turn as well. I don’t think Jackie’s Warrior has as good a chance from the inside as he will from [...]

By |2021-10-29T13:36:36-04:00October 29, 2021|Jon Stettin's Blog, Keeneland Race Picks|
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Best Handicapping Edge

With the Breeders’ Cup on the horizon everyone is or should be looking for an edge in their handicapping and wagering strategies. There is more information out there today than ever before. It is easy to fall victim to information overload. Personally, I like all the information I can get but also realize less information gives almost an automatic edge to experienced players. I can and do deal with and embrace both scenarios. With the Breeders’ Cup there will be no shortage of information. Everybody will be analyzing and re-analyzing the same information. Yes, [...]

By |2021-10-25T15:08:27-04:00October 25, 2021|Jon Stettin's Blog, Keeneland Race Picks|
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