Ellis Starr’s Blog

Belmont Oaks Invitational - Race 7 at Belmont - Post Time 4:06 PM Eastern Santa Barbara is a legitimate favorite coming off a tremendous effort beaten a neck in a head bob in the Group 1 Pretty Polly Stakes at the end of June. That being said, the two other European invaders, Cirona and Nazuna, open at 12/1 and 20/1 and based on the fact people like to bet U.S. based horses over obviously more classy Europeans much of the time, the potential for profit even in exactas, plus doubles and pick 3’s, from [...]

Kent Stakes - Race 7 at Delaware Park - Post Time 4:15 PM Eastern Among the three win contenders, who between them have about 90% of the probability to win this race combined, Gershwin is likely to offer the best return for the risk, opening at 8/1. Never worse than third in five races, Gershwin has yet to run on grass because in all three races where he was entered for a turf race, all three were run on dirt. I don’t necessarily think trainer Stidham was praying for rain each time as the [...]