Ellis Starr’s Blog

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – May 15, 2021

Skipat Stakes - Race 9 at Pimlico - Post Time 3:25 PM EasternFrench Empire has won four in a row while moving through the allowance ranks in Kentucky and Arkansas and that apparently caught the attention of a number of people, who privately purchased her after her last race on March 26. Now in the hands of Brad Cox and with a trio of strong workouts since leaving Kentucky, the mare moves into grade 3 stakes competition with the BEST (by far) pair of recent Equibase figures, 106 then 110, as compared to the [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – May 8, 2021

Vagrancy Handicap - Race 7 at Belmont - Post Time 4:06 PM Eastern French Empire has won four in a row while moving through the allowance ranks in Kentucky and Arkansas and that apparently caught the attention of a number of people, who privately purchased her after her last race on March 26. Now in the hands of Brad Cox and with a trio of strong workouts since leaving Kentucky, the mare moves into grade 3 stakes competition with the BEST (by far) pair of recent Equibase figures, 106 then 110, as compared to [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – May 1, 2021

Honey Ryder Stakes - Race 11 at Gulfstream Park - Post Time 5:37 PM Eastern Mischievous Dream gets slight preference among three win contenders, the other two being Con Lima (the likely favorite) and Karakatsie. Mischievous Dream makes her three year old debut and first start after six months off but the race is on turf at a mile and one-sixteenth and the trainer is Clement, who does very well with horses coming back from six months or more away in turf route. The filly won her career debut last summer at Saratoga in [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – April 24, 2021

Race 7 at Belmont - Post Time 4:08 PM Wicked Trick just aced the field at this seven furlong trip and at this NW3X allowance level but is back under identical conditions, essentially getting a second bite at the apple he just ate, because Linda Rice is willing to enter him for the optional $100K claiming price, hoping no one is interested for that hefty amount. Not only did the horse win at this seven furlong distance in his most recent race but he put together SEVEN wins in a row between July of [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – April 17, 2021

Race 8 at Keeneland - Post Time 4:57 PM Eastern Final Jeopardy (8 to 1 starting odds) and Empty Tomb (5 to 1 starting odds) are the keys to profit here, particularly with morning line favorite South Bend absolutely false (very vulnerable) at 5 to 2. South Bend returns from six months off, running two turns (1 1/16 miles) with no prep, in an allowance race. Although he has run in all stakes races going back to the fall of 2019, the class drop is a big sign this is just a prep for [...]

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