Ellis Starr’s Blog
Key Races & Bets for Saturday December 9th, 2023
Wait a While Stakes – Race 6 at Gulfstream – Post Time 2:34 PM Eastern Win contenders: Milliat, Ozara Ozara and Milliat have the bulk of the probability to win this two-turn turf route for two year old fillies, but it is highly likely only Milliat can be bet to win as she opens at 8 to 1 compared to 8 to 5 for Ozara. So that’s where I’ll start. Milliat won her only start,
Key Races & Bets for Saturday December 2nd, 2023
Demoiselle Stakes – Race 7 at Aqueduct – Post Time 2:45 PM Eastern Win contenders: Most of All, Ringy Dingy, Shimmering AllureVulnerable favorites: Life Talk, Caldwell Luvs Gold Let’s start with why the first and third morning line favorites are vulnerable, which sets up the race for some nice overlays from fair odds on the three win contenders. Life Talk (8 to 5) is favored based on her fourth of 12 finish four weeks ago
Key Races & Bets for Saturday November 25th, 2023
City of Laurel Stakes – Race 6 at Laurel – Post Time 3 PM Eastern Top win contenders: Let It Ride, Post Time, Giant MischiefNext tier: (in case of scratches and for exactas) Ninetyprcentmaddie, Super Accelerate, Coffeewithchris Note: Super Accelerate and Giant Mischief are cross-entered in other races this week and may not run here. Let It Ride ships in from New York on the heels off a five length win from which he was
Key Races & Bets for Saturday November 25th, 2023
Notebook Stakes – Race 4 at Aqueduct – Post Time 1:19 PM Eastern Analysis and Key Contender: Up to six of these two year olds only know how to run to the lead and it will only take two or three to go way too fast to have the ability to hold off Aggelos the Great, a proven stalker. He finished second and third, respectively, in his last two starts, in similar stakes for NY
Key Races & Bets for Saturday November 11th, 2023
Pebbles Stakes – Race 6 at Aqueduct – Post Time 2:17 PM Eastern Top win contenders: Implicated, Sacred Wish, PlentitudeExacta contenders: Silver Skillet, Rhiannon Analysis: Stephanie’s Charm will have to go fast early from the outside and given that when last seen in the Jockey Club Oaks she opened up a 13 length lead after a half-mile the early pace is likely to be fast. This is insured with Precious Avary also in the race