Ellis Starr’s Blog

Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 2, 2022

Alapocas Run Stakes – Race 4 at Delaware Park – Post Time 2 PM Eastern Whereshetoldmetogo likely won’t go to post at his 4 to 1 morning line odds, but considering Drafted opens at 2 to 1 and has won two straight stakes, that one should go favored and we should still get low odds overlay value on Whereshetoldmetogo on win bets. This gelding LOVES to win, with six wins in his last 10 races

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 25th, 2022

Goldwood Stakes – Race 11 at Monmouth – Post Time 4:47 PM Eastern If the race goes as drawn in that need-the-lead types Athwaaq, Robin Sparkles and Hey Mamaluke run, and/or if also-eligible Stop War runs, or any two or three of the four, the early pace is going to be hotly contested and HOT, perhaps with a sub :22 opening quarter and a sub :45 half mile. That sets the race up nicely for

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 11, 2022

Brooklyn Stakes – Race 5 at Belmont Park – Post Time 1:47 PM Eastern First Constitution is the play here, opening at 9 to 2 and offering exceptional value because the second and third betting favorites on the morning line (Fearless and Warrant) are highly vulnerable. First Constitution has a fine record of 2-2-2 in six races since just after importing to the U.S. and moving to the Pletcher barn. His best effort came in

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 4, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:40 PM Eastern This is a very interesting starter allowance open to horses which raced at least once in a claiming race carrying a $50,000 price. It’s really a non-winners of two BUT four of the nine entered have either two or three wins to date. More specifically, Royal Tryst and Blake B. have three wins including their most recent races, both at this one turf mile

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Key Races & Bets for Saturday May 28th, 2022

Race 8 at Belmont Park – Post Time 4:40 PM Eastern ANY of the nine entered can win, which is why the three horses opening at the highest odds in the field (12/1) are the horses to look at first when considering our bets- Sibelius, Market Alert and Hammerin Aamer. They have no knocks, particularly when offered decent value for win bets. On the other hand the two morning line favorites, Highly Motivated (5 to

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