Ellis Starr’s Blog

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – October 16, 2021

Race 5 at Belmont - Post Time 2:43 PM  Happy Hill Lil goes for her third straight win and although the first of the two came in a maiden claiming race and the most recent came in a non-winners of two races lifetime claiming race she fits perfectly here. Both wins came in turf sprints and the 85 and 81 Equibase Figures are BETTER than the figures earned by horses which have finished in the money recently at this first allowance level for NY Breds. She rallied from 10th in the first of the [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – October 9, 2021

Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Stakes - Race 7 at Belmont - Post Time 3:47PM Eastern Four horses are pretty much inseparable in terms of probability to win. They are Arklow, Gufo, Channel Maker and Japan. HOWEVER, if the morning line disparities hold up, both Arklow and Channel Maker will offer superb value as win bets and keys in the exacta as we will try to split the other two (keep them from running first and second). Arklow won this in 2019, off a third in the Bowling Green two before that and a second [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – October 2, 2021

Champagne Stakes - Race 8 at Belmont - Post Time 4:40PM Eastern My Prankster opens as the 5 to 2 third choice in this six horse field and is likely to remain the third choice in the wagering behind Chad Brown’s Jack Christopher (9 to 5) and Todd Pletcher’s Wit (2 to 1). My Prankster is trained by Pletcher as well, and like favorite Jack Christopher, My Prankster has only run once, winning easily at Saratoga first time out. He won by 10 lengths at six and one-half furlongs, compared to Jack Christopher winning [...]

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – September 25, 2021

Turf Monster Stakes - Race 9 at Parx Racing - Post Time 3:51 PM Eastern The win contenders in this race are Carotari and Firecrow. To a lesser extent Beer Can Man and Caravel can be considered contenders as well. Carotari loves these short turf sprints, having finished first or second in four of his last seven, all stakes. By far the best effort of his career came last month when, returning from a two month layoff, Carotari nearly posted the 23 to 1 upset in the Troy Stakes at Saratoga after leading by [...]

By |2021-10-15T08:34:22-04:00September 24, 2021|Ellis Starr's Blog, Horse Racing Podcast, key bets races|

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – September 18, 2021

Jockey Club Oaks Invitational - Race 9 at Belmont Park - Post Time 5:14 Eastern I usually opt for the European invaders in a race like this, but in this case Higher Truth has to get top billing. She was bred in Ireland but has only raced in the U.S. and each race since her debut in March was significantly better than the other in terms of her speed figures. In the similar Belmont Oaks in July, Higher Truth finished fast to miss second by a nose and the win by a half-length to [...]

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