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Category: Woodbine Race Picks

Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 27, 2024

Ontario Colleen Stakes – Race 8 at Woodbine – Post Time 4:47 PM Eastern
Top win Contender: Sabatini
Other contenders: Crevalle d’Oro, Ready for Shirl, Simply in Front
Longshot to consider: Miss Roberts

Sabatini stretched out to two turns for the first time four weeks ago to win the Grade 3 Selene Stakes, with a visually impressive move on the far turn to go from fourth to first, and easily held a two length advantage for the final eighth of a mile. That effort earned a field high 100 Equibase Speed Figure and being as this will be her second route she should run even better. She’s bred to run as well on grass as she did on all-weather and is the one to beat.

Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 13, 2024

My Dear Stakes – Race 8 at Woodbine – Post Time 4:48 PM Eastern
Win Contenders: Bound to Be True, Soupergirl, Obliging, Bullet

This two year old stakes race for fillies drew a field of nine, with ALL nine having won their most recent race, and for seven of those that win came in their debut. All of these two year old fillies can improve, and considering Bound to Be True ran the fastest of the group and opens at 8 to 1, she gets top billing. She showed a lot of maturity rallying from fourth in her debut and gets a contested pace to close into again as up to FIVE of the others may be need-the-lead types. Better still, Bound to Be True was FLATTERED as both the runner-up and third place finishers won their next starts. The 78 Equibase Speed Figure she earned, which is expected to be improved upon, is the best in the field and she has no knocks.

Key Races & Bets for Saturday June 29, 2024

Manila Stakes – Race 7 at Belmont at the Big A (Aqueduct) – Post Time 3:40 PM Eastern
Top Win Contenders: Please Advise, Mattingly

Although only six are entered, there’s only one from the Chad Brown barn, Move to Gold, who may be favored off a nose defeat in the Jersey Derby for weeks ago. He also won the Awad Stakes last October on this course, but he’s no standout based on a career-best 92 Equibase Speed Figure earned in the Jersey Derby. Another horse likely to take money is Deterministic, who won the Gotham Stakes on dirt in March before running exceptionally poorly in the Wood Memorial (at 4 to 5 odds) and in the Peter Pan. He’s never run on turf and will be overbet. Neat won the Transylvania Stakes at Keeneland one before his most recent race but ran inexplicably bad in the American Turf on Derby day and there is a question mark about whether he can rebound here, but he may also be bet because he’s dropping from grade 2 to grade 3. Drunk on Sake is completely over matched here coming off a maiden claiming win where he wired the field on slow fractions. He will not have the lead in this field and that takes him out of the mix.

Key Races & Bets for Saturday April 27, 2024

Race 5 at Aqueduct -Post Time 3:28 PM Eastern
Top Contenders: Mister J T, Got Thunder
There is a lot of early speed in this six furlong starter allowance race, with Capone (on the rail) having led at the start or having been within a head of the lead in his last six races. Printrack, Chateau, Ryan’s Cat and possibly Colonel Vargo are also need-the-lead types and it’s only going to take two or three to go all out from the start for all of them to tire late and set up the two closers.