Eddie Read Stakes – Race 8 at Del Mar – Post Time 8:30 PM Eastern / 5:30 PM Pacific
United, Say the Word, Count Again, Smooth Like Strait and Restrainedvengence are the win contenders, but like the previous race, the latter is likely be the KEY bet in this race.
Restrainedvengence, who opens at 10/1, is every bit as talented as the other four, who open at lower odds. He’s earned over three-quarters of a million in his career and he’s not over the hill as he just won the Grade 3 American Stakes at Santa Anita last month, then was flattered when the runner-up came right back to win. He’s been first or second in three of six turf races at Del Mar, including the opening day Oceanside Stakes in 2018, and Baze rides him very well. Best of all whereas there is no true need-the-lead type here and there are up to four horses who like to run first or second early, Restrainedvengence can close from farther back if need be and when needed can run the last quarter mile in under 23 seconds which is good enough to win.
Count Again (5/1 morning line) is the other horse which may offer value for a win bet. He’s four-for-eleven in his career and won the Grade 2 Seabiscuit Handicap last fall on the Del Mar turf. He’s a deeper closer than Restrainedvengence but he drops in class after a fine fourth of nine finish in the Grade 1 Turf Classic on Derby day, just behind Smooth Like Strait, and on his best day Count Again can win a race like this.
United, Say the Word and Smooth Like Strait don’t need me to make cases for them, with more than $3 million banked between them, almost all of it on turf. Still, none is a standout and to some extent they’ve all taken turns beating one-another so on any given day they can run well enough to win, but there’s no real determining when that is. As such, it’s best to key on the two higher odds horses for the exotics.
Win bets: Restrainedvengence and Count Again at 5 to 2 or higher.
This is another race where a DUTCHING tool does us a lot of good and helps us to make a profit. A Dutching tool, like the one which is free to use at Amwager.com, saves us doing the math to determine the right wagering amounts.
Race 8: United, Say the Word, Count Again, Smooth Like Strait and Restrainedvengence
Race 9: Push To Start
Race 8: Count Again, Restrainedvengence
Race 9: Push To Start, Clem Labine, Jazz Hands