John C. Mabee Stakes – Race 9 at Del Mar – Post Time 8:37 PM Eastern (5:37 Pacific)
Fast Jet Court won six of nine in her native Brazil, including against males a couple of times, and ships in to the competent Mike McCarthy barn ready to post the upset at 6 to 1. I watched a couple of her Brazilian races and although we don’t know what she was running against, she was impressive, particularly when last seen in March when winning under wraps by seven lengths without being asked in an 11 horse field. The 108 Equibase figure is right there with the 112 to 114 figures of U.S. Grade 2 and Grade 1 Stakes winners and this gal has a European style turn of foot which will be very useful in this field.
Dogtag makes her third start off a layoff and off a runner-up effort in the similar Grade 2 Yellow Ribbon Handicap last month on the course. She beat Maxim Rate for second by a length and one-half in that race and the winner (Princess Grace) is not in this field so on paper, excluding the foreign invader Fast Jet Court, Dogtag is the one to beat. Still, Maxim Rate won the Grade 1 Gamely Stakes at this nine furlong turf trip before her so-so effort in the Yellow Ribbon and can bounce back so must be respected. Last but not least, Bodhicitta, who rallied from eighth to fourth in the Yellow Ribbon, and who finished second in the 2020 Gamely, before winning the Yellow Ribbon last year, must not be ruled out as a contender.
Win bets: Fast Jet Court at odds of 2 to 1 or higher
Exactas: (Normally we’d try to separate the favorites and capitalize on the two higher odds horses, but the favorites Dogtag and Maxim rate are not prohibitive, opening at 3 to 1 and 7 to 2, so boxing is okay)
Box Fast Jet Court, Dogtag, Maxim Rate and Bodhicitta
Trifecta: Box Fast Jet Court, Dogtag, Maxim Rate and Bodhicitta
Race 9: Fast Jet Court, Dogtag, Maxim Rate and Bodhicitta
Race 10: Breakfast Ride, Corniche
There’s not a lot to discuss about race 10, a maiden race for two year olds, but on paper Breakfast Ride and Corniche Stand out. Considering Corniche opens at 9 to 5 as he’s trained by Baffert and has seriously fast workouts, he’s not a good win bet but Breakfast Ride may be, opening at 4/1, as he’s got workouts as good as Corniche and is bred to win at first asking. The dam has produced seven foals and three won first out. Joe Bravo has been up for trainer John Sadler’s last two first time starter maiden winners as well, so there’s a lot pointing to Breakfast Ride being live. As such, even if we are live to the doubles I might still Make a win bet on Breakfast Ride at 2 to 1 or more in race 10 at Del Mar.