Harrison E. Johnson Memorial Stakes – Race 6 at Laurel – Post Time 3:03 PM Eastern
Dixie Drawl, who was very well regarded last month in the John B. Campbell Stakes at 5/2, but who ran sixth, comes back three weeks later at the nine furlong distance of his stellar nine length win just before that and I think that’s the key to posting the mild upset opening at 6/1. Winner of five of his last nine before the Campbell, Dixie Drawl is two for three at this trip and has earned all six career wins at Laurel and the effort on 1/23 earned a 111 Equibase figure which is THE BEST earned by any horse in this race, period, so running back to that effort makes him tough to beat.
Galerio is a very consistent horse BUT he’s as consistent at running second (10 times) as winning (eight) in his career. Furthermore, he is running nine furlongs for the first time whereas the other two contenders have not only run the distance, they have won at it, so although he’s a MUST for exactas and trifectas I won’t be considering a win bet on him opening at 7 to 2 odds too low for me.
Mischief Afoot offers a second win bet opportunity opening at 8/1 as a horse who won at nine furlongs one before last and who is making his second start off a layoff. Shipped up from Florida for this race, the four year old has improving to do and although he’s never run in a stakes any improvement off the career-best 102 figure effort at the end of January should get him in the top three at the least here and certainly I wouldn’t want to watch him win at 8 to 1 without having a few bucks on him.
Forewarned, Cordmaker (a false favorite at 3/1 starting odds who is winless in nearly 18 months, Tattooed (good second in the General George sprinting last month) and Plot the Dots (stepping into stakes on dirt for the first time but 9 for 13 first or second in his career) all deserve some consideration for second and third on exacta and trifecta tickets.
Win: Dixie Drawl to win at odds of 5/2 or more AND Mischief Afoot to win at odds of 3 to 1 or more.
When making multiple win bets, use a “Dutching” tool to do the work of allocating your wagering dollars for the best edge. A Dutching tool lets you set the amount you want to bet or the amount you want to win, then based on the odds your bets are proportioned accordingly. Amwager has a great dutching tool available, among many other great features.
Exacta and Trifecta: Mischief Afoot, Galerio and Dixie Drawl over Mischief Afoot, Galerio, Dixie Drawl, Forewarned, Cordmaker, Tattooed and Plot the Dots. (For the trifecta use the same horses in second and third)