There are a bunch of stakes to choose from on Saturday at Gulfstream Park. The Harlan’s Holiday and the Fort Lauderdale will get a lot of attention. They are viewed as key preps for the Pegasus and Pegasus Turf. They may very well be, but for me, I like the My Charmer. I’ll run down the field, and you’ll see why.
Niko’s Dream goes from the rail with Junior Alvarado, who I hear is staying the winter primarily because of Bill Mott. This NY Bred looks a cut below a few of these. I don’t think she is fast or good enough to win this for Barclay Tagg.
Art of Almost ships in from Woodbine for sharp Roger Attfield. Paco has a nice inside post to work with. She gets back on the grass after two synthetic starts and I think she runs a good one and makes her presence felt.
Our Baby Ruth likes Gulfstream and cones off a good race at Kentucky Downs. Like Art of Almost, I think she runs good in here. These are the two I will use behind the one I land on.
Tuned is who I like. I thought she showed a nice turn of foot in her US debut last year at Keeneland. She has two races off the lay-off and I can forgive both. She was wide both times and had every right to need the race back at Belmont after nearly a year on the shelf. With those two in the tank, she should be set to show that turn of foot we saw at Keeneland. I think she gets enough pace to set that up and can run these down with Irad Ortiz at the controls. The 7-2 seems about right and she may even go a little higher.
Lady Lawyer might go favored in here for Chad Brown. Sure, she would be no surprise, but I think she is no better than a few of the others and I am hoping that last sixteenth gives the one I like the edge. I believe it will. She may also be a bit overrated because of Brown. I am willing to leave her out of the first two slots.
Matilda is OK and will probably make a move at the leaders early. She will like getting back on the grass, but I think others are better. I’ll use her in the third slot but no higher than that.
Piedi Bianchi looks overmatched on the turf in this spot. She may show some speed and fade.
Great Sister Diane looks a cut below and likely is for the win. That said she likes this turf and is her best form. I think she can close and round out the super.
The way I play this is a race to go after. I’ll single and play Tuned to win. I’ll play Tuned over Art of Almost and Our Bay B Ruth in the exacta. I won’t reverse, it will be all or nothing for me. I’ll use those sane two for third and add Lady Lawyer and Matilda in the triple. For the super, I’ll use the same 4 to wrap up the ticket with one addition. Great Sister Diane.
With a 7-2 or so on top, and the favorite out of the exacta, I have a chance to hit a nice ticket a few times in only an 8-horse field. The multi- race 7-2 single sits well with me as well. That will allow me to spread in the other legs as much as I think I need to.