Ellis Starr’s Blog
Key Races & Bets for Saturday August 12th, 2023
Galway Stakes – Race 7 at Saratoga – Post Time 4:30 PM Eastern Analysis and main contenders: Redefined and Love Reigns have the bulk of the probability to win, with Isabel Alexandra and Stone Silent (the likely pacesetter) also having some shots. Redifined gets preference as she opens at 6 to 1. She won at six furlongs on the Belmont turf when last seen in June, versus OLDER, and she’s been second or third in
Key Races & Bets for Saturday August 5th, 2023
Lure Stakes – Race 7 at Saratoga – Post Time 3:51 PM Eastern Analysis and main contenders: I get the sense the plan for Ocean Atlantique in the Grade 1 Manhattan on June 10 (his most recent race) was to go for the lead and see how far he could go, given that his best races had come when leading from the start, and because his stablemate Red Knight would need an honest pace to
Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 29th, 2023
Monmouth Oaks – Race 9 at Monmouth – Post Time 4:20 PM Eastern Analysis and main contenders: 10 fillies line up and more than a few have run competitively in stakes, but no more so than Foggy Night, who won fairly easily four weeks ago to take the identical Delaware Oaks under Paco Lopez, who rides back. The filly stretched out to this trip off a win in a seven furlong sprint and could not
Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 22nd, 2023
Molly Pitcher Stakes – Race 10 at Monmouth – Post Time 4:38 PM Eastern Analysis and main contenders: Search Results, who opens as the 8 to 5 favorite, is a nice mare who has banked $1.6 million while winning six of 14. On the other hand, she has lost ground in the last eighth of a mile in her two starts this year and doesn’t seem as good (just slightly) as a five year old
Key Races & Bets for Saturday July 15th, 2023
Prince George’s County Stakes – Race 7 at Laurel – Post Time 3:31 PM Eastern Analysis and main contenders: Royal Patronage is a contender but NOT the horse to beat. He opens at 5 to 2 on the drop from the Grade 3 Arlington Stakes last month when fifth with no excuse at 2 to 1 and won an allowance race prior to that. On the other hand he’s one for five since importing to