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Saturday Stakes Look February 27th, 2021

Two key Kentucky Derby points races will get a lot of attention on Saturday. The Fountain of Youth will be run at Gulfstream Park, and The Southwest will be run at Oaklawn Park. Both races figure to have an impact on the Kentucky Derby leaderboard, and both offer alternatives to the likely heavy favorites. Last week we were fortunate enough to peg Mishriff as a potential up-setter to the two big favorites in The Saudi Cup, Charlatan and Knicks Go, so we will see if we can do it again on Saturday. At Gulfstream [...]

By |2021-02-26T11:28:00-05:00February 26, 2021|Jon Stettin's Blog|

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – February 27, 2021

Canadian Stakes - Race 8 at Gulfstream Park - Post Time 2:53 PM Eastern Venezuelan Hug just won a stakes on this turf course and although it was a race restricted to Florida breds it was as good as the runner-up grade 3 stakes effort Eon put in. Now having won five of nine in his career (three of five at Gulfstream), Venezuelan Hug earned that win without Lasix, an important factor to consider as we handicap stakes races with new rules. If you ignore his 10 furlong (too far) try in October, Venezuelan [...]

February 20th – Thrilling Picks Select Picks

Saturday, Feb 20th - Gulfstream Park RACE 3 #1 DontPushYourLuck maybe a false favorite in this race. Yes, betting against Irad on 2-1 feels terribly unnatural. However historically, the horse with the strong speed advantage has never won. Lets underline, there are only 4 past races that are similar in profile which we are modeling against, so yes, the data set is limited. In our Saturday PICK3/4/5's we will omit #1 DonPushYourLuck to instead, gamble on the #5, 6, 7 Double Rc3 # 5, 6, 7 Rc4 # 3, 4, 5 RACE 4 #3 [...]

By |2021-02-20T07:58:45-05:00February 20, 2021|Gulfstream Park Race Picks|

2021 The Saudi Cup

Anytime you get Grade 1 type horses to race over a track they are not familiar with, in a land they are unfamiliar with, it makes for an interesting horserace. Interesting races often give us value-laden betting opportunities. If that is the case with The Saudi Cup, this year remains to be seen. After all, you have two very strong co-favorites in Knicks Go and Charlatan. It doesn’t exactly hurt their chances in that they are trained by Brad Cox and Bob Baffert, respectively. It may prove to be futile to try and get [...]

By |2021-02-19T07:28:26-05:00February 19, 2021|Jon Stettin's Blog|

Key Horse Races & Expert Handicapper Bets – February 20, 2021

John B. Campbell Stakes - Race 4 at Laurel Park - Post Time 2:04 PM Eastern I’m hoping Dixie Drawl gets this week’s KEY RACES blog off to a strong start and that should be the case if he goes to post anywhere near his starting odds of 9/2. Still, even 2/1 will be an overlay as I think he pretty much sticks out here as a win contender. He’s 6 for 19 in his career but better still he’s 6 for 15 at Laurel. He just won at a mile and one-eighth over [...]

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