Those who play the horses today generally fall into one of five groups: Fans- these are the ones who play the Kentucky Derby, names, birthdates, and any other hunches that come to mind. Syndicates- These are groups of people who invest together in a system of wagering that often employs one or both of the next two categories. Bettors- These are players who are smart gamblers. They find and identify angles or something that works for them at a good value and go after it. They know how to bet smart. Handicappers- These are the ones who back their opinion. They calculate the probable outcome and wager they will be right. They do not always bet smart. Gamblers- These are the ones who would and do bet on anything. I’d include those who play someone else’s choices in this group whether they pay for those opinions or not. Obviously, you…
Key Horse Races & Free Expert Picks For July 4, 2020Poker Stakes - Race 8 at Belmont - Post Time 5:13 PM EasternDream Friend returned from seven months off five weeks ago and tired to third after leading from the start, at this mile turf trip at Belmont. That was nothing more than a PREP for this mile stakes race and I think the horse is going to run much better and turn the tables on Value Proposition, who won that day. Terranova is really good with horses second off the layoff in turf routes (5 for 14 in the past two years) and that’s why I sense the 6/3 race was to tighten Dream Friend up for this race. From the rail he could easily be the “Lone frontrunner” and take the field all the way and as such he offers tons of value opening at 8 to 1.…
Nobody, and I mean nobody likes taking it on the chin. If you bet the late sequence at Belmont on Thursday anchored by the Easy Goer Stakes you took it on the chin. The old and very poor rule of giving the bettor the favorite in place of a scratch stinks. In fairness, if you went after any multi-race bets in that sequence, you are probably playing compulsively, and right into the hands of poor racetrack managers. It was a bad sequence, to begin with, and it was made horrendous by scratches in the Easy Goer. The Easy Goer became a match race and a match race with a 1-2 heavy favorite. The worst part of that was he was not going to be the speed in the two-horse field. Any student of the game knows historically the speed almost always has an advantage in a match race. Originally carded with just six…
Key Horse Races & Free Expert Picks For June 27, 2020Vagrancy Handicap - Race 7 at Belmont - Post Time 4:32 PM EasternThis four race sequence of stakes starts with a predictable race in which the two starting favorites, Chalon and Come Dancing, have a significantly higher probability to win than the other five. The best way to make money in a race like this is in doubles and pick 3s. You could also play the pick 5 but I didn’t handicap the last race in the sequence (11) for the blog. Chalon finished second in this race in 2018, after making the lead late in the stretch, and she’s done little wrong since then, having finished first or second in four of five races last year. If you exclude the race in October which led to the layoff she’s coming back from today, Chalon run four “A” races in…
If you are betting on horse racing, you should know how to place a Trifecta. This wage is hard to get right, but has big profit potential. Trifecta Betting is popular because even a small wager can have a big payoff due to the difficulty of correctly selecting the top 3 finishers. It’s one of the best ways to win big without putting a lot of money at risk.What Is A Trifecta Bet?A Trifecta Bet is when the bettor selects the first, second, and third places finishers in exact order. If they finish in the correct order you win, and you can win big! If those exact horses don’t finish the race in that exact order, the bet is lost.Different Types of Trifecta BetsThere are four different types of Trifecta Bets you can place, a straight, key, box, or wheel. Even the most seasoned bettors don’t always understand how each…
If you are ready to win and win big, it might be time to calculate the perfect Exacta Bet. Exacta horse racing betting is popular, but not always easy. It's more straightforward than most of the other exotic wagers, and it’s one of the simplest bets. Sure, it’s harder than a straight bet, but when you get it right, it can be a lucrative win with remarkable margins. What Is An Exacta Bet?An Exacta Bet, also referred to as an Exactor or Perfecta, is one where the bettor picks both the first and second place winners in exact order. In order to win an Exacta Bet, both horses must finish in the chosen order. If either prediction is wrong, the bet is off. For example, in an Exacta Bet you choose horse #2 to place first and horse #5 to place second. If that happens, you win. But if horse…
The Belmont Stakes is here. It’s been a crazy year so far, and we are only halfway through it. The 2020 Belmont is being run as the first race in the Triple Crown, at an abbreviated distance of a mile and an eighth. The race also has a short-priced favorite who is highly likely to win.If you’re betting against Tiz the Law, and for the record I’m undecided, you have no problem. You’ll back into value no matter how you play it as long as you’re right. If you like him, however, enough to bet him, then how you play things will be far more important as far as getting value is concerned.Tiz the Law is probably going to go off in the area of 3-5. That’s real short for a 10 horse Grade 1. He looks faster and at least to date classier than any of his rivals. Three…
Key Horse Races & Free Expert Picks For June 20, 2020Acorn Stakes - Race 8 at Belmont - Post Time 4:15 PM EasternLucrezia is a filly I’ve liked since last fall when she won the Sandpiper Stakes (a sprint) in December. I loved her in the Suncoast Stakes in February off a two month layoff and stretching out to two turns for the first time and she rewarded us at almost 6 to 1 odds when easily winning by five. She ran into a buzzsaw named Swiss Skydiver in her only start off that race, in the Gulfstream Park Oaks, finishing second and gamely by a nose over the next horses as the winner was in another league as proven by winning the Fantasy Stakes and Santa Anita Oaks since then. Not only did Swiss Skydiver improve off the effort from a 99 Equibase figure to 104 then 108, but…
I have been in the game a long time. Before pick 6’s, pick 4, and pick 5’s. I see horses running today and remember the names from the past. Yes, some names get recycled. I don’t only remember the sire and dam, often I remember the sire’s sire and the dam’s sire. Choices of wagers were limited. One daily double. One triple on the last race. No pick 3’s. It was one race at a time for the most part. There was no simulcasting, no ADW’s so along with your limited wagering opportunities came being limited to just your home track where you likely had to physically be in order to bet. There have always been ways around that with bookies and horse rooms, but the average player was limited. Crowds were big and fields were often full. I don’t know we are better off as an industry today. Likely…
Key Horse Races & Free Expert Picks For June 13, 2020Woodstock Pick 3 starting in Race 7 at Woodbine Post Time 4:21 Eastern Before I get into the races for today, I want to let everyone know that race 7 at Woodbine, the Woodstock Stakes, is my race of the day at Woodbine. If you want that analysis head over there. That being said, because the Pick 3 at Woodbine has a $0.20 base cost, I’m playing a pick 3 starting in race 7 and including the two races on this week’s blog: Pick 3 at Woodbine: Race 7: Newstome, Clayton Race 8: Take Charge Eh, Owlette, Curlin’s Voyage, Ima Beast, Cool Shadows, Two Sixty, New York Groove Race 9: Occasional View, Walkabout Creek, Sure Would Forest, Call Me Wally, Sumerian Bell, Kitchen Fire Cost $16.80 at the $0.20 minimum You can also play additional tickets using only Curlin’s Voyage, Cool…