Get more analysis and recommended wagers for other races this weekend on my Key Races & Bets Podcast Futurity Stakes – Race 8 at Belmont – Post time 4:46 PM ET Barry Lee and Happy Like a Fool are the two main contenders in my opinion, both with about a 33% probability to win, which equates to 2 to 1 odds. Considering Barry Lee opens at 5/1 compared to 5/2 for Happy Like a Fool, I'll start with him. Barry Lee won like a good thing in his career debut on 7/14 then folded like a cheap tent in the Saratoga Special one month later. However, he showed the poor effort at Saratoga to be a fluke when winning the Arlington Washington Futurity on 9/9 with a mature rally from fifth of seven in the early stages. He adds blinkers for the Futurity but I think that is much more…
Friday – Keeneland Race 8 – Stoll Keenon Ogden Phoenix Solid field of 11 sprinting six furlongs on the main track. If the #11 Whitmore (3-1) of the spring shows up today, then everyone else is running for 2nd place. That being said I don’t trust him and am not one to play a short-priced favorite who is coming into this race off two subpar performances. I landed on #2 Threefiveinia (6-1) who should sit a good stalking position in a race loaded with early heat. I’ll key the Brown trainee with #4 Loose On the Town (12-1), #7 Favorite Tale (6-1), #10 It’s the Journey (12-1) and #11 Whitmore. Saturday – Keeneland Race 7 First Lady A salty field of seven going the flat mile on the turf is led by the morning line favorite #4 Roca Rojo (2-1). The Strategic Prince mare has won 6 of 10 in…
Cross Country Pick 4 – Starts at 4:13 PM with Race 8 at Belmont Park, the Champagne Stakes Ticket A Leg 1 (Belmont Park race 8) – Bahamian, Aveenu Malcainu, Honorable Treasure, Enticed Leg 2 (Keeneland race 8) – Ezmosh, Bourbon Resolution, Enticed, Free Drop Billy, Givemeaminit Leg 3 (Belmont race 10) – Diversify, Rally Cry Leg 4 (Keeneland race 9) – Suedois, Mondialiste, Miss Temple City, Heart to Heart The cost at the $0.50 minimum bet amount is $60 or $64, depending on which race Enticed (who is entered in two races) runs in. Ticket B Leg 1 (Belmont Park race 8) – Bahamian, Aveenu Malcainu, Honorable Treasure, Enticed Leg 2 (Keeneland race 8) – Ezmosh, Bourbon Resolution, Enticed, Free Drop Billy, Givemeaminit Leg 3 (Belmont race 10) – Diversify, Rally Cry, Pavel, Keen Ice Leg 4 (Keeneland race 9) – Suedois, Mondialiste The cost at the $0.50 minimum…
Do you enjoy playing multi-race bets? Whether it’s a pick 3, pick 4, pick 5, or the elusive pick 6, you should be maximizing your opinion and budget every time you bet into these pools using the ABC wagering method. Now, I am not talking about learning the alphabet. The ABC method of structuring tickets should be the starting point for playing multi-race bets. Steve Crist, in his best-selling book Exotic Betting, wrote about this methodology of betting. Not only did he coin the ABC method, but he has shown that over the years if you are an astute horseplayer this is the way to maximize your opinion. So what is the ABC method you ask? Well, first let’s identify what it is not. If you are not using the ABC wagering method then you are playing the “caveman” ticket-meaning you are assigning the same weight(chances of winning) to each…
Saturday Keeneland Race 9 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes Keeneland’s race of the day Saturday is the Grade 2 Dixiana Elkhorn Stakes going the marathon distance of a mile and half over the turf. The race is named after a central Kentucky stream that is 18.3 miles long and runs through several counties with its two primary forks taking the shape of antlers. The race was first run at 1 1/8th miles in 1986 and then lengthened to today’s distance in 1996. Notable winners include Manila (1987), Lure (1994), and Musketier (2010 & 2011). This year’s edition features a competitive, full field of eleven older horses although Mike Maker, who has a superfecta of runners, has already stated he may scratch Taghleeb (4-1) and Roman Approval (20-1). The forecast for Lexington on Saturday shows several rounds of rain which means the turf might be rated “good” or “yielding.” I have handicapped the…
Friday Keeneland Race 9 Maker’s 46 Mile The highlight race on Friday’s Keeneland card is the Grade 1 Maker’s 46 Mile. Unlike the bourbon Maker’s 46, which has a smooth taste with hints of both vanilla and caramel, the race came up quite salty with a highly competitive field of 12. The race could be billed as an East vs. West Coast contest as we have four shippers from California, including What a View (5-1), Bolo (5-1), Conquest Enforcer (12-1), and Calculator (10-1), taking on the East Coast challengers, including the morning line favorite Heart to Heart (3-1). The six-year-old son of English Channel has had a stellar career, winning 12 of his 27 lifetime starts with earnings exceeding $1 million. There is no secret to his success as he likes to set the pace and run his competition into the ground. He is 6 of 13 at the one…
First run in 1972, the Spiral Stakes has been the spring fixture for Turfway Park, located in Florence Kentucky. First run at the one mile distance, the race was elongated to a mile and an eighth in 1988 and has been run at that distance since. Notable winners of the Spiral include Broad Brush (1986), Summer Squall (1990), Hansel (1991), Lil E. Tee (1992), Hardspun - a personal favorite (2007), and Animal Kingdom (2011) who was the last Spiral Winner to go on to capture the Run for the Roses. While Animal Kingdom was able to translate his polytrack form over to the dirt, Spiral winners tend to be horses more geared to the turf and less so to classic dirt tracks. The race, however, does offer 85 qualifying points for the Derby, with 50 points going to the winner in case those getting their picture made in the winner’s…
Oaklawn Park Race 10 Rebel Stakes All eyes this weekend will be on Oaklawn Park for the Grade 2 Rebel Stakes, the second leg of Oaklawn’s three-year-old Kentucky Derby prep races. First run in 1961 and won by Bass Clef, the Rebel Stakes has been a popular prep for horses with Derby dreams. This year's edition has drawn a strong field of 11. On paper, this race has a ton of early speed. Those horses that like to lay the heat on the front end include Silver Bullion (30-1), Uncontested (10-1), Malagacy (4-1), and Royal Mo (9-2). If they all blast away from the gate, the early fractions could be blazing which should set the race up for a horse from off the pace. That is not to say Uncontested and/or Malagacy could not wire the field but I think the pace may be too hot early for one of…
Below is my selection grid for Saturday's card at Gulfstream Park.  It's a great day of racing and best of luck to all.  Race A's B's C's Comment        R4-Herecomesthebride #1 Dream Dancing #4 Coasted   Top 2 Look Tough       R5 Fred W. Hooper #3 Realm,  #4 Birdsong #3 War Story   Playing against Pletcher may come back to bite me    R6 Sands Spring #5 Catch a Glipmse #8 Celestine     Shocked if one of these ladies does not win it    R7 The Very One Stakes #1 Olorda #3 Suffused #5 Try Your Luck, #4 Earring Olorda has pace advantage; intrigued with Earring    R9 Palm Beach Stakes #4 Kitten's Cat #5 Snap Decision  #9Ticonderoga   #6 Channel Maker   Spread Race        R10 Davona Dale  #9 Eloquent Riddle #12 Pretty City Dancer #7 Miss Sky Warrior   Post 12 not ideal for top choice but pace dynamics may set up for   R11…
By Papo Morales  On Monday, February 27th AmWager 2.0 will go live. What is AmWager 2.0 you ask? It’s an upgrade to our current online wagering platform, AmWager. We took what was great about our current wager pad and gave it a substantial boost to further separate ourselves from the competition. Upon logging in for the first time you will notice the layout is crisp. You now have the ability to customize the wager pad “skin” to “classic”, modern “blue”, or a cutting edge “grey.” The wager pad layout is larger and the functionality remains top class. Designed by professional players, the wager pad optimizes your ability to build, stack, and place wagers with ease. The wager pad is split into three main sections (race information, wager/bet list, and data matrix) yet all are viewable simultaneously on one screen.  The race information section shows all the bet types available, runners…