Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. This week’s blog is going to concentrate on making money in Pick – 3 wagers by taking advantage of some horses which have a very high probability to win but along with some suspect favorites as well. In addition there are a couple of races which are very playable in and of themselves. Good Luck Beldame Stakes -Race 8 at Belmont -Post Time 4:43 pm Eastern We start with a race with one of those very high probability horses, Midnight Bisou, whose next stop will be the Breeders’ Cup Distaff. With Smith in California to ride McKinzie in the prep for the Classic, the Awesome Again Stakes, John Velazquez takes over and his job will mostly be to not mess up in this six horse field in which the others, including bad 5/2 morning line second choice Wow Cat…
Today more than ever the bettor has many options on where, when, and how to gamble or invest their money. Whether it is racing (my game of choice) sports, table or casino games, poker, backgammon, chess (my second favorite) or whatever, there are an abundance of choices. Within the racing game alone we choose from many tracks, and also different wagers. We all have wagers at the track or through an ADW like our AmWager that we favor or gravitate towards. Like anything else, things become comfortable and routine like. For some reason, just about all the talking heads promote the pick 4 or pick 5 wager. It is almost all they talk about when it comes to promoting a wager. I guess their bosses, who likely mandate this, miss the fact many other wagers are much better for the churn of handle they seek. Those bets can be great, and…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Parx Dirt Mile Stakes -Race 8 at Parx Racing -Post Time 4 pm Eastern Coal Front is seven-for-eleven in his career but showed he is not invincible when badly beaten as the heavy favorite in the Grade 3 Monmouth Cup Stakes when last seen, following a seventh of nine finish in the Met Mile. After winning the Godolphin Mile in Dubai in March, it wasn't unexpected for him to not be fully in form in the Met Mile but that effort was worse than what could be expected and since he's lost two in a row after winning three straight, although his best can win this race, his form makes this race very playable. Bonus Points changed trainers between his 4/13 and 8/17 starts and I don't view the change from Pletcher to Trombetta as negative in any way.…
The Woodbine Mike is always an interesting and competitive race and this year is no exception. Here are my thoughts and how I’ll play it. #1 El Tormenta- Looks overmatched I’m here. Handles Woodbine and should appreciate some added ground over his most recent starts but looks up against it to win this. #2 Lucullan- Has come back like a new horse. Always had some ability but is better than ever right now. If he handles Woodbine, and I suspect he will, I think he is your winner. The price won’t be 8-1 like the morning line but should be OK. #3 Silent Poet- He is my second choice and the other horse I would use in any multi race wagers. He is game and improving and loves this course. Dangerous. #4 Synchrony- Will have plenty of support here. Not mine. He is capable for sure but I don’t think…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Canadian Stakes -Race 7 at Woodbine-Post Time 4:30 Eastern Magnetic Charm is a lightly raced three year old filly, the only three year old in the seven horse field. She faced older for the first time in a stakes race at Ascot at the end of July and finished third as the odds on favorite. Prior to that she ran huge when beaten a neck in a 27 horse field at Royal Ascot in June and prior to that she won by a neck in an 11 horse field in a stakes, that win following eight months on the bench and her ONLY start on a left handed course. Those three efforts this year show what she’s made of and trainer William Haggas doesn’t ship to North America unless he has the goods. He’s only shipped five horses in…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Kentucky Downs Juvenile Turf Sprint Stakes -Race 6 at Kentucky Downs-Post Time 4:05 Eastern / 3:05 Central I like the incentive involved in purchasing a horse privately, or claiming it, with a stakes race in mind and in this stakes there are TWO which fit that criteria, both owned by the same connections of Barber, Wachtel and others. They don’t race coupled because of the big purse so if we bet one we must strongly consider the other. They are Alcools and Scocciatore, both opening at 6/1 and both coming off impressive wins. Alcools earned that win in his career debut last month at Woodbine on all-weather for Wayne Rice and Arienne Cox. This is not a disparagement on either but for this horse to win for those connections first out, and as impressively as he did, particularly with…
It is interesting to look back at some of our opinions on races and horses from a few weeks or months back and see how they aged. You get a real good window into your focus and grasp of this challenging game we play. This is a good time of year to do it as we are approaching the fourth quarter so to speak and if we don’t have a clear picture now something is wrong. A few weeks ago, I wrote right here Shancelot was a bet against in his next start after the monster win first time at the Spa. He lost at a short price. A week or two before that I wrote right here Code of Honor was most likely to be the one to assert himself into the top three-year-old of 2019 picture. I think he accomplished that with his Travers win. We pretty much…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Exacta Systems Juvenile Fillies Stakes-Race 9 at Kentucky Downs-Post Time 5:47 Eastern/4:47 Central This race, and race 10, the Gainesway Farm Juvenile Stakes, are fantastic betting races. With horses shipping in from everywhere, most only with a maiden win, whoever is the favorite near post time will likely be as high as 4 to 1. As such, multiple win bets and some exactas bets we wouldn’t normally make are called for because the investment is worth the potential return. In this race I’ll start with Fly So Pretty, who has two starts under her belt. The first was a turf sprint at Churchill in June and the second was a turf sprint last month at Saratoga. In that race Fly So Pretty rallied from eighth after encountering enough trouble to cover a couple of paragraphs. Since then, she was…
They may have put an aftermarket spoiler on a vintage red Ferrari, but when you crank it up, you can still feel and hear the engines rumble. There are some racetracks that just have a magically electric atmosphere to them as soon as you enter the gates. Saratoga has that as soon as you approach the town from the South and pass the Mohawk River Bridge. It amplifies as you approach the grounds and see the familiar grand mansions, barns, and racetrack itself. I have yet to visit a racetrack that has the feel of Saratoga, and I have been to most all over the world. Whether it is the history, the epic performances, the legendary upsets, the champions of our game, both human and equine who have competed there, or the big scores doesn’t really matter. Maybe it’s a combination of all of that, or even something else. When NYRA announced the…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Personal Ensign Stakes - Race 9 at Saratoga- Post Time 4:12 PM Eastern There’s a time to play favorites, particularly when they help turn multi-race bets like the pick three into the equivalent of a daily double, and that’s the case here as Midnight Bisou should not lose if she runs as she did in either the Ogden Phipps in June or in the Molly Pitcher last month. In both cases, Mike Smith was sitting on a powder keg in the last quarter mile and barely needed to give her a cue before she accelerated and won. Perhaps there were lesser quality horses in those two races compared to what she faces here but right now, Midnight Bisou is an “alpha” horse and refuses to lose. If she’s in form she wins. I’ve been a big fan of Elate…