For me, a lot goes into choosing the right single in any multi-race bet. With the exception of a 20-cent jackpot bet, I always like to have at least one single. Obviously, the most important thing about a single is that it wins. If it doesn’t, all else fails. Most multi-race bettors look for their separation or edge in races where they go deep or spread or even use all. I seldom use all. I always look for at least a few horses I can eliminate. Have I been burned, of course, but who hasn’t? In the long run, it helps make scores and have tickets more than once. Eliminating as many losing bets as possible is crucial to the P and L statement at year or meets end. It is easy to see the logic in creating separation or trying to create separation in a leg where you spread or use…
San Antonio Stakes - Race 5 at Santa Anita - Post Time 4 PM Eastern, 1 PM PacificMidcourt appears highly probable to win his third straight stakes race, second graded stakes, following his return from two months off at the end of October. He’s won four in a row, starting in June, the last win on 11/23 his best effort yet when dominating by almost six lengths in the Native Diver Stakes five weeks ago. He’s earned back-to-back 114 Equibase figures, which gives him a “Double Advantage” because those two are better than the last two of any horse in the field. He can win on the lead (as he did in the Native Diver) or he can win from off the pace as he did when rallying from seven lengths back to win the Comma to the Top Stakes in October, so there are no concerns dependent upon various…
As a horseplayer you have to look out for number 1. That’s you. Believe me nobody else is going to do it. Amidst all the reform we hear about today, granted all of it needed and long overdue, you don’t hear much about helping the bettor. The bettor true to past performances will be the first to get put on the back burner or worse swept under the rug. Beating this game as a horseplayer has always been hard. It is harder today than ever before. All the reform in the world won’t save the sport if nothing is done to help the current bettors, and attract some new ones. How does a bettor look out for number 1? There are several ways we can do this. Be selective and pick your spots. Remember you are not obligated to bet every day, every race at every track. Bet the races…
My Charmer Stakes - Race 7 at Gulfstream Park - Post Time 3 PM EasternTake These Chains can post the upset, opening at 12/1. She won four of her first eight races through November 2018 and is winless in four since BUT two of those were grade 3 stakes and the other was a comeback turf sprint in October. There a few keys to her returning to form good enough to win, the first being that trainer Colebrook does very well with horses coming back from two to six months off as she is and another is Colebrook uses Saez sparingly but they do very well together. The rest appears to have done her a lot of good as she put in a sharp half mile (47.4) workout coming into the race, and her best effort, when fourth of nine and beaten a few lengths to Vasilika in the Grade…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Winter Memories Stakes - Race 2 at Aqueduct - Post Time 12 Noon Eastern Tuned showed her cards as being something special in her U.S. debut in October at Keeneland when she rallied from eighth of 11, still seventh with a quarter mile to go, then easily drove past six horses to draw off late. She had been off for six months prior to that but was well regarded at 5 to 2 in a stakes in France in March after breaking her maiden at first asking in a 15 horse field last October. Castellano rode her in her win and rides back and she beat older in that race so although stepping up to stakes she moves to three year olds only here so it's not really a hike in class. The 100 Equibase figure earned is not…
The Remsen has not exactly been a Kentucky Derby winner factory lately. Nonetheless, whoever emerges victorious on Saturday will be cast into the early Run for the Roses conversation. Given that and all the excitement generated by the top tier two-year-olds around this time, we’ll take a look at the race and run it down. Hopefully, we can find the winner.The Grade 2 Remsen drew a field of 9 going a mile and an eighth around two turns at Aqueduct.On the rail is Chase Tracker, a Verrazano colt for Todd Pletcher. He ran well first out at Parx breaking his maiden in his debut from just off the pace. The race was fast enough but he regressed a tad in his next start, the Grade 3 Nashua. He adds blinkers looking to wake him back up. I’m not sold on him.Forza Di Oro breaks from the 2 post. This looks…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. James F. Lewis III Stakes - Race 6 at Laurel - Post Time 2:51 PM Eastern The bulk of the probability to win lies with Raging Whiskey and Newstome, with morning line favorite Tuggle vulnerable on two counts. Tuggle won his debut at five furlongs leading from start to finish in June then finished third in the Saratoga Special after leading early, before two routes. So, either he's a need the lead type but won't get the lead as Raging Whiskey is faster early and inside of him in the gate, or the routes dulled his early speed, which will allow Raging Whiskey an easy early lead as none of the three horses inside him in the gate are faster. Raging Whiskey ships out from California after his second poor try on grass in his last three races. In…
The recently concluded Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge provided a nice example of how different tournament play is from actual play, even in a cash style tournament. I have thought for a while there is a Breeders’ Cup Betting Challenge with my name on it. I still think that today, but I’ll actually have to play in one to find out. I almost did this year but passed it up primarily because of the uncertainties surrounding the Santa Anita main track and horses who shipped in to run over it. Make no mistake, when I finally pull that trigger I intend to win and this didn’t seem like the opportune year. I am also going to have to buy my way in. I don’t play in qualifiers. They are not my style. I’ve had several offers to have someone put up the big in and play as partners. I doubt I’d do that.…
Brought to you by Amwager.com, a great legal online wagering website. Pumpkin Pie Stakes - Race 7 at Aqueduct - Post Time 2:50 PM Eastern Honor Way is a bit of an in-and-out type but with six wins in 20 career dirt races, some of her best races could win here and give her a mild upset at 6/1 on the morning line. Two of those six career wins on dirt have come at seven furlongs, including last month at Belmont. Although it was in a starter allowance race, the mare ran third in the Interborough Stakes at Aqueduct in January to Dawn the Destroyer, who ran big in the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint last week, and she enters the race off a that strong win with a 96 Equibase figure which best is the figure among ALL in this field except Majestic Reason, who I think is…
 This week's blog features special daily double wagers tying the Juvenile Fillies on Friday to the Distaff on Saturday and tying the Juvenile on Friday to the Classic on Saturday. Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies - Race 7 at Santa Anita on Friday 11/1 - Post Time 5:32 PM Eastern/2:32 Pacific It appears my choice of win contenders matches up with what the public is going to do as my two win contenders are Donna Veloce and British Idiom. Still, I wouldn’t argue with anyone who considered #6 Bast, #9 Comical or #7 Wicked Whisper contenders coming out of excellent preps for this race, but I will stop with the top two who I feel stick out against the other seven. The benefit of this race having only a couple of selections, with three back-ups, is it gives us a little value for the special daily double tying the Juvenile Fillies…